Strategic Briefing Image
Strategic Brief Image

The Cold Resource War: U.S. Preferential Trade Bloc for Critical Minerals

Strategic Studies Department

17 Feb 2026

In February 2026, the United States convened officials from 55 countries to launch the Critical Minerals Preferential Trade Bloc, signaling a decisive shift in how Washington approaches resource security. Announced by Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the initiative aims to stabilize supply chains for minerals essential to defense, advanced manufacturing, and clean technologies.

The bloc seeks to guarantee preferential market access among members, coordinate production, diversify supply away from dominant suppliers, stabilize prices, and create predictable investment conditions. It follows President Donald Trump’s announcement of a $12 billion critical minerals stockpile, modeled on the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, intended to shield U.S. industry from supply disruptions and reduce reliance on China.

Together, these measures reflect a broader strategic recalibration. Critical minerals are now treated as instruments of national security and geopolitical leverage rather than purely market commodities. The initiative is also a response to recent Chinese export restrictions, which exposed Western dependence on a narrow set of suppliers and elevated minerals from a commercial concern to a strategic vulnerability.

However, success is far from guaranteed. China’s dominance across mining, refining, and processing—backed by decades of state investment and integrated industrial policy—remains a structural constraint. The U.S.-led alternative faces higher costs, weaker industrial capacity, and coordination challenges among partners.

The bloc’s viability will ultimately depend on sustained U.S. policy commitment, private-sector confidence, scalable financing, institutional durability, and measurable expansion of supply capacity. Its trajectory will determine whether this effort evolves into a lasting strategic architecture or remains a limited geopolitical experiment.